Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way PDF ½ the Fun

Fun guide to learning Bayesian statistics and probability through unusual and illustrative examplesProbability and statistics are increasingly important in a huge range of professions But many people use data in ways they don't even understand meaning they aren't getting the most from it Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way will change thatThis book will give you a complete understanding of Bayesian statistics through simple explanations and un boring examples Find out the probability of UFOs landing in your garden how likely Han Solo is to survive a flight through an asteroid shower how to win an argument about conspiracy theories and whether a burglary really was a burglary to name a few examplesBy using these off the beaten track examples the author actually makes learning statistics fun And you'll learn real skills like how to How to measure your own level of uncertainty in a conclusion or belief Calculate Bayes theorem and understand what it's useful for Find the posterior likelihood and prior to check the accuracy of your conclusions Calculate distributions to see the range of your data Compare hypotheses and draw reliable conclusions from themNext time you find yourself with a sheaf of survey results and no idea what to do with them turn to Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way to get the most value from your data

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